I R AA AJ AS
China → select a country global budget 650 Gt The global paths RM 1 - 6 keep the global budget 2020 - 2100. E_i_t RF: RM-1 const RF: RM-2 exp RF: RM-3 lin RF: RM-4 quadr RF: RM-5 rad RF: RM-6 abs actual per capita RF: RM-1 const RF: RM-2 exp RF: RM-3 lin RF: RM-4 quadr RF: RM-5 rad RF: RM-6 abs   RR_i_t RF: RM-1 const RF: RM-2 exp RF: RM-3 lin RF: RM-4 quadr RF: RM-5 rad RF: RM-6 abs actual
global per capita emissions 2019: 4.76 t 2019 2019 11,813.06 11,813.06 11,813.06 11,813.06 11,813.06 11,813.06 11,813.06   8.32 8.32 8.32 8.32 8.32 8.32                  
  2020 11,149.98 11,750.77 11,750.79 11,750.32 11,750.89 11,477.29 11,964.13 7.85 8.27 8.27 8.27 8.27 8.08   2020 -5.6% -0.5% -0.5% -0.5% -0.5% -2.8% 1.3%
scenario type conver-
gence
level		   2021 10,522.34 11,677.71 11,637.35 11,684.28 11,553.21 11,141.52 12,551.86 7.41 8.22 8.19 8.23 8.14 7.85   2021 -5.6% -0.6% -1.0% -0.6% -1.7% -2.9% 4.9%
  2022 9,928.25 11,592.10 11,473.92 11,607.78 11,260.86 10,805.75 12,518.68 6.99 8.16 8.08 8.17 7.93 7.61   2022 -5.6% -0.7% -1.4% -0.7% -2.5% -3.0% -0.3%
  2023 9,365.90 11,491.90 11,262.34 11,513.87 10,909.78 10,469.98 13,021.24 6.60 8.09 7.93 8.11 7.68 7.37   2023 -5.7% -0.9% -1.8% -0.8% -3.1% -3.1% 4.0%
base data 0.50   2024 8,833.60 11,374.75 11,004.99 11,395.83 10,517.22 10,134.20 13,124.73 6.22 8.01 7.75 8.02 7.41 7.14   2024 -5.7% -1.0% -2.3% -1.0% -3.6% -3.2% 0.8%
RM-1 0.50 Depending on the global path the smallest value is sought which is greater than or the same as the convergence level set. This value then constitutes the convergence year of the global path. The convergence level in the case of the concrete global path will generally be somewhat higher than the value set.   2025 8,329.75 11,238.01 10,704.82 11,247.28 10,094.71 9,798.43   5.87 7.91 7.54 7.92 7.11 6.90   2025 -5.7% -1.2% -2.7% -1.3% -4.0% -3.3% #NV
RM-2 0.54   2026 7,852.83 11,078.66 10,365.24 11,062.34 9,650.97 9,462.66   5.53 7.80 7.30 7.79 6.80 6.66   2026 -5.7% -1.4% -3.2% -1.6% -4.4% -3.4% #NV
RM-3 0.53   2027 7,401.39 10,893.36 9,990.10 10,835.81 9,193.04 9,126.89   5.21 7.67 7.03 7.63 6.47 6.43   2027 -5.7% -1.7% -3.6% -2.0% -4.7% -3.5% #NV
RM-4 0.60   2028 6,974.08 10,678.39 9,583.57 10,563.33 8,726.70 8,791.12   4.91 7.52 6.75 7.44 6.15 6.19   2028 -5.8% -2.0% -4.1% -2.5% -5.1% -3.7% #NV
RM-5 0.52   2029 6,569.60 10,429.73 9,150.11 10,241.59 8,256.86 8,455.35   4.63 7.34 6.44 7.21 5.81 5.95   2029 -5.8% -2.3% -4.5% -3.0% -5.4% -3.8% #NV
RM-6 0.52 2030 2030 6,186.74 10,143.07 8,694.34 9,868.57 7,787.65 8,119.58   4.36 7.14 6.12 6.95 5.48 5.72   2030 -5.8% -2.7% -5.0% -3.6% -5.7% -4.0% #NV
  2031 5,824.34 9,813.92 8,221.00 9,443.69 7,322.59 7,783.81   4.10 6.91 5.79 6.65 5.16 5.48   2031 -5.9% -3.2% -5.4% -4.3% -6.0% -4.1% #NV
A mathematical description of the RM Scenario Types is published on Zenodo: Zenodo   2032 5,481.31 9,437.79 7,734.84 8,967.98 6,864.66 7,448.04   3.86 6.65 5.45 6.32 4.83 5.24   2032 -5.9% -3.8% -5.9% -5.0% -6.3% -4.3% #NV
  2033 5,156.61 9,010.39 7,240.55 8,444.19 6,416.35 7,112.27   3.63 6.35 5.10 5.95 4.52 5.01   2033 -5.9% -4.5% -6.4% -5.8% -6.5% -4.5% #NV
  2034 4,849.26 8,527.97 6,742.69 7,876.85 5,979.73 6,776.50   3.41 6.01 4.75 5.55 4.21 4.77   2034 -6.0% -5.4% -6.9% -6.7% -6.8% -4.7% #NV
  2035 4,558.34 7,987.74 6,245.59 7,272.20 5,556.50 6,440.73   3.21 5.62 4.40 5.12 3.91 4.54   2035 -6.0% -6.3% -7.4% -7.7% -7.1% -5.0% #NV
  2036 4,282.96 7,388.48 5,753.36 6,638.05 5,148.03 6,104.96   3.02 5.20 4.05 4.67 3.63 4.30   2036 -6.0% -7.5% -7.9% -8.7% -7.4% -5.2% #NV
  2037 4,022.30 6,731.15 5,269.74 5,983.61 4,755.37 5,769.19   2.83 4.74 3.71 4.21 3.35 4.06   2037 -6.1% -8.9% -8.4% -9.9% -7.6% -5.5% #NV
A mathematical description of the Regensburg Formula is published on Zenodo: Zenodo   2038 3,775.57 6,019.75 4,798.14 5,319.11 4,379.31 5,433.42   2.66 4.24 3.38 3.75 3.08 3.83   2038 -6.1% -10.6% -8.9% -11.1% -7.9% -5.8% #NV
  2039 3,542.03 5,262.08 4,341.57 4,655.42 4,020.41 5,097.64   2.49 3.71 3.06 3.28 2.83 3.59   2039 -6.2% -12.6% -9.5% -12.5% -8.2% -6.2% #NV
2040 2040 3,320.96 4,470.54 3,902.63 4,003.55 3,679.00 4,761.87   2.34 3.15 2.75 2.82 2.59 3.35   2040 -6.2% -15.0% -10.1% -14.0% -8.5% -6.6% #NV
  2041 3,111.71 3,662.55 3,483.49 3,374.22 3,355.24 4,426.10   2.19 2.58 2.45 2.38 2.36 3.12   2041 -6.3% -18.1% -10.7% -15.7% -8.8% -7.1% #NV
  2042 2,913.65 2,860.58 3,085.87 2,777.26 3,049.12 4,090.33   2.05 2.01 2.17 1.96 2.15 2.88   2042 -6.4% -21.9% -11.4% -17.7% -9.1% -7.6% #NV
Reference values for the country: China   2043 2,726.16 2,091.26 2,711.11 2,221.23 2,760.49 3,754.56   1.92 1.47 1.91 1.56 1.94 2.64   2043 -6.4% -26.9% -12.1% -20.0% -9.5% -8.2% #NV
  2044 2,548.70 1,383.43 2,360.11 1,712.96 2,489.08 3,418.79   1.79 0.97 1.66 1.21 1.75 2.41   2044 -6.5% -33.8% -12.9% -22.9% -9.8% -8.9% #NV
  2045 2,380.72 764.89 2,033.40 1,257.33 2,234.53 3,083.02   1.68 0.54 1.43 0.89 1.57 2.17   2045 -6.6% -44.7% -13.8% -26.6% -10.2% -9.8% #NV
  2046 2,221.72 490.05 1,731.15 857.07 1,996.38 2,747.25   1.56 0.35 1.22 0.60 1.41 1.93   2046 -6.7% #NV -14.9% -31.8% -10.7% -10.9% #NV
  2047 2,071.21 282.49 1,453.21 671.69 1,774.11 2,411.48   1.46 0.20 1.02 0.47 1.25 1.70   2047 -6.8% #NV -16.1% #NV -11.1% -12.2% #NV
  2048 1,928.75 141.47 1,199.14 515.70 1,567.13 2,075.71   1.36 0.10 0.84 0.36 1.10 1.46   2048 -6.9% #NV -17.5% #NV -11.7% -13.9% #NV
  2049 1,793.90 0.44 968.26 387.41 1,374.83 1,739.94   1.26 0.00 0.68 0.27 0.97 1.23   2049 -7.0% #NV -19.3% #NV -12.3% -16.2% #NV
2050 2050 1,666.26 -235.03 759.66 284.42 1,196.55 1,404.17   1.17 -0.17 0.53 0.20 0.84 0.99   2050 -7.1% #NV -21.5% #NV -13.0% -19.3% #NV
  2051 1,545.44 -235.03 658.01 203.77 1,031.62 1,068.40   1.09 -0.17 0.46 0.14 0.73 0.75   2051 -7.3% #NV #NV #NV -13.8% -23.9% #NV
  2052 1,431.07 -235.03 567.23 123.13 879.35 732.63   1.01 -0.17 0.40 0.09 0.62 0.52   2052 -7.4% #NV #NV #NV -14.8% -31.4% #NV
  2053 1,322.82 -235.03 486.62 42.49 739.05 550.09   0.93 -0.17 0.34 0.03 0.52 0.39   2053 -7.6% #NV #NV #NV -16.0% #NV #NV
  2054 1,220.35 -235.03 415.44 -66.72 668.95 367.55   0.86 -0.17 0.29 -0.05 0.47 0.26   2054 -7.7% #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2055 1,123.36 -235.03 352.94 -207.72 604.60 185.02   0.79 -0.17 0.25 -0.15 0.43 0.13   2055 -7.9% #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2056 1,031.55 -235.03 298.38 -235.03 545.65 2.48   0.73 -0.17 0.21 -0.17 0.38 0.00   2056 -8.2% #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2057 944.65 -235.03 251.02 -235.03 491.75 -235.03   0.67 -0.17 0.18 -0.17 0.35 -0.17   2057 -8.4% #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2058 862.39 -235.03 210.13 -235.03 442.54 -235.03   0.61 -0.17 0.15 -0.17 0.31 -0.17   2058 -8.7% #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2059 784.53 -235.03 169.24 -235.03 397.70 -235.03   0.55 -0.17 0.12 -0.17 0.28 -0.17   2059 -9.0% #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
2060 2060 710.83 -235.03 128.35 -235.03 356.90 -235.03   0.50 -0.17 0.09 -0.17 0.25 -0.17   2060 -9.4% #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2061 672.84 -235.03 87.46 -235.03 319.86 -235.03   0.47 -0.17 0.06 -0.17 0.23 -0.17   2061 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2062 636.89 -235.03 46.57 -235.03 286.27 -235.03   0.45 -0.17 0.03 -0.17 0.20 -0.17   2062 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2063 602.85 -235.03 5.68 -235.03 255.86 -235.03   0.42 -0.17 0.00 -0.17 0.18 -0.17   2063 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2064 570.63 -235.03 -61.56 -235.03 228.39 -235.03   0.40 -0.17 -0.04 -0.17 0.16 -0.17   2064 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2065 540.14 -235.03 -133.05 -235.03 200.91 -235.03   0.38 -0.17 -0.09 -0.17 0.14 -0.17   2065 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2066 511.27 -235.03 -204.55 -235.03 173.43 -235.03   0.36 -0.17 -0.14 -0.17 0.12 -0.17   2066 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2067 483.95 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 145.95 -235.03   0.34 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 0.10 -0.17   2067 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2068 458.09 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 118.47 -235.03   0.32 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 0.08 -0.17   2068 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2069 433.61 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 90.99 -235.03   0.31 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 0.06 -0.17   2069 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
2070 2070 410.43 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 63.52 -235.03   0.29 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 0.04 -0.17   2070 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2071 388.50 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 36.04 -235.03   0.27 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 0.03 -0.17   2071 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
selected country: China Global framework data:     2072 367.74 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 8.56 -235.03   0.26 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 0.01 -0.17   2072 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
Total budget 2020 - 2100 650  Gt   2073 348.09 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -33.08 -235.03   0.25 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.02 -0.17   2073 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
data status Sep 25 LUC budget 2020 - 2100 0  Gt   2074 329.48 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -81.12 -235.03   0.23 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.06 -0.17   2074 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
ISA budget 2020 - 2100 21  Gt   2075 310.88 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -129.17 -235.03   0.22 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.09 -0.17   2075 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
Countries starting with per capita emissions close to the convergence level have a significant kink in their emission paths after the convergence year. This kink should be avoided in practice based on the resulting budget for that country. E_min -0.73  Gt   2076 292.28 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -177.21 -235.03   0.21 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.12 -0.17   2076 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
convergence level 0.50  t   2077 273.68 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -225.25 -235.03   0.19 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.16 -0.17   2077 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
Shares of the country in 2019:   2078 255.08 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03   0.18 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2078 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
in global emissions population   2079 236.47 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03   0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2079 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
32.20% 18.41% 2080 2080 217.87 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03   0.15 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2080 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2081 199.27 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03   0.14 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2081 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
Global results   2082 180.67 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03   0.13 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2082 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2082 180.67 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03   0.13 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2082 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2083 162.07 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03   0.11 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2083 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2084 143.46 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03   0.10 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2084 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2085 124.86 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03   0.09 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2085 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2086 106.26 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03   0.07 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2086 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2087 87.66 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03   0.06 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2087 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2088 69.06 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03   0.05 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2088 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2089 50.45 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03   0.04 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2089 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
2090 2090 31.85 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03   0.02 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2090 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2091 13.25 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03   0.01 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2091 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2092 -9.36 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03   -0.01 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2092 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2093 -41.88 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03   -0.03 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2093 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2094 -74.41 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03   -0.05 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2094 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2095 -106.93 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03   -0.08 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2095 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2096 -139.46 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03   -0.10 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2096 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2097 -171.98 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03   -0.12 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2097 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2098 -204.51 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03   -0.14 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2098 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2099 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03   -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2099 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
2100 2100 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03 -235.03   -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2100 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  RM-1 const RM-2 exp RM-3 lin RM-4 quadr RM-5 rad RM-6 abs actual                
1990 2,414.3            
Further reference values for the country: China 2019 389% 389% 389% 389% 389% 389% 389%
2020 362% 387% 387% 387% 387% 375% 396%
2025 245% 365% 343% 366% 318% 306% -100%
2030 156% 320% 260% 309% 223% 236% -100%
2035 89% 231% 159% 201% 130% 167% -100%
2040 38% 85% 62% 66% 52% 97% -100%
2050 -31% -110% -69% -88% -50% -42% -100%
  RM-1 const RM-2 exp RM-3 lin RM-4 quadr RM-5 rad RM-6 abs actual
2010 9,106.0            
2019 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30%
2020 22% 29% 29% 29% 29% 26% 31%
2030 -32% 11% -5% 8% -14% -11% -100%
2040 -64% -51% -57% -56% -60% -48% -100%
2050 -82% -103% -92% -97% -87% -85% -100%
2019 11,813.1            
2020 -6% -1% -1% -1% -1% -3% 1%
2025 -29% -5% -9% -5% -15% -17% -100%
2030 -48% -14% -26% -16% -34% -31% -100%
2040 -72% -62% -67% -66% -69% -60% -100%
2050 -86% -102% -94% -98% -90% -88% -100%
             
RF: RM-1 const RF: RM-2 exp RF: RM-3 lin RF: RM-4 quadr RF: RM-5 rad RF: RM-6 abs actual global
Scope 15.3 16.7 16.2 16.4 15.9 16.3   17.2
  RF: RM-1 const RF: RM-2 exp RF: RM-3 lin RF: RM-4 quadr RF: RM-5 rad RF: RM-6 abs 0
2020-2100 national 180,740 196,454 190,705 193,718 187,421 191,992 63,181
share country / global 28.718% 31.232% 30.326% 30.810% 29.816% 30.544%  
2020-2100 global 629 629 629 629 629 629  
sum net negative emissions 1,219 12,222 8,625 11,086 6,287 10,577 0
2005 6235.7
2030 -1% 63% 39% 58% 25% 30% -100%
2013 1323.5
2030 367% 666% 557% 646% 488% 513% -100%
Japan
legend
Mill. t CO2    
scenario:  RM-1 const RM-2 exp RM-3 lin RM-4 quadr RM-5 rad RM-6 abs
  629 yes yes yes yes yes yes
        2060 2045 2050 2046 2053 2052
Is the budget 2020 - 2100 complied with?     2092 2050 2064 2054 2073 2057
convergence year:     
year of emissions neutrality