| Determination of the
free parameter in the RM scenarios 2020 - 2100 |
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selected country: |
EU27 |
weighting P: |
15% |
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target is not met |
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t / capita |
6,56[1] |
global budget in Gt: |
650 |
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| input value |
determination via "goal seek" |
target value
of "goal seek" |
target is met |
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| RM scenarios: |
RM-1 const |
RM-2 exp |
RM-3 lin |
RM-4 quadr |
RM-5 rad |
RM-6 abs |
info actual
change rates |
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| characteristics of the
scenario |
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RRt const |
RRt exp |
RRt lin |
RRt quadr |
RRt rad |
RA const |
change
rate 2019 |
average
2018, 2019, 2022, 2023 |
change
rate 2024 |
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| start change rate for the start
year 2025 (RR_SY) |
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only a negative RR_SY possible |
a positive RR_SY is also
possible
(= increasing emissions) |
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RM 2 - 5 |
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| -6,33% |
-1,88% |
-1,88% |
-1,88% |
-1,88% |
-3,20% |
-4,6% |
-4,5% |
-1,9% |
-1,88% |
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| initial value[2] |
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-8% |
10% |
-1% |
0 |
0 |
-116 |
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RRt constant |
a |
a |
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a |
RA |
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| free
parameters are determined by Goal Seek in such a way as that the budget is
adhered to. |
-6,33% |
10,22% |
-0,42498% |
2,03697E+66 |
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-3,77787E+16 |
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-0,00031624 |
-0,01535750 |
-78,80[3] |
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| scenario ∑
2020 - 2100; sheet 'RM' |
Mill. t |
47.806 |
47.806 |
47.806 |
47.806 |
47.806 |
47.806 |
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| budget ∑
2020 - 2100; sheet 'base data'[4] |
Mill. t |
47.806 |
47.806 |
47.806 |
47.806 |
47.806 |
47.806 |
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Should the potential for net
negative emissions (NNE) be taken into account when setting the TVs? |
yes |
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| emissions
2100 scenario; sheet 'RM' |
Mill. t |
-58,20 |
-58,20 |
-58,20 |
-58,20 |
-58,20 |
-58,20 |
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| Emin; sheet 'base data'[5] |
Mill. t |
-58,20 |
-58,20 |
-58,20 |
-58,20 |
-58,20 |
-58,20 |
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| year Emin is achieved |
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2091 |
2057 |
2067 |
2058 |
2076 |
2056 |
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| change rate
2030 / 1990 |
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-56% |
-44% |
-46% |
-43% |
-49% |
-48% |
base data |
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supple-ment |
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minimum values |
proven values |
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| year emissions neutrailty[6] |
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2084 |
2056 |
2064 |
2056 |
2071 |
2056 |
NNE |
initial value TV
RM-1 |
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| At which level of emissions in
2019 (threshold value; TV)
shall the annual percentage reduction be change into a constant annual
reduction? |
RM 2 - 5: |
101,79 |
Mill. t |
3,50% |
of emissions in 2019 |
-2% |
50% |
TV = Potential for net negative
emissions (-NNE) + supplement |
3,50% |
3,5% |
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| RM-1: |
130,88 |
Mill. t |
4,50% |
4,50% |
85% |
4,50% |
4,5% |
data macro 'finding budget': |
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proven values |
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Specified emissions target |
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0% |
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| Download a comprehensive mathematical description
of the Regensburg Model Scenario Types: |
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Current emissions target |
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0% |
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| Mathematicel Description RM 1 - 6 |
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50% |
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Specified maximum global budget |
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Gt |
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85% |
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Current global budget |
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Gt |
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| dashboard |
check sum |
0 is ok; 1
not ok |
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| RM-1 const |
RM-2 exp |
RM-3 lin |
RM-4 quadr |
RM-5 rad |
RM-6 abs |
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| budget is adhered to |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
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| emissions in 2100 not
positive |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
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| no increasing emissions |
0 |
0 |
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0 |
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| check sum |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
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data macro 'finding NNE': |
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| E_2100 is negative but not
equal to E_min |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
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Specified emissions target |
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0,0% |
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Current emissions target |
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0,0% |
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Specified max. potential NNE |
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0,0% |
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Current potential NNE |
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0,0% |
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baseline potential NNE |
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0,0% |
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data macro 'finding weighting p.': |
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Specified emissions target |
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0,0% |
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Current emissions target |
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0,0% |
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Minimum or maximum weight P |
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0,0% |
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Current weighting population |
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0,0% |
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baseline weighting population |
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0,0% |
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global per capita |
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t |
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country per capita |
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t |
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data macro 'finding budget': |
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Specified year of emissions
neutrality |
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Current year of emissions neutraltity |
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Specified maximum global budget |
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Gt |
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Current global budget |
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Gt |
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data macro 'finding NNE': |
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Specified year |
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Current year |
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Specified max. potential NNE |
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0,0% |
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Current potential NNE |
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0,0% |
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baseline potential NNE |
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0,0% |
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data macro 'finding weighting p.': |
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Specified emissions target |
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Current emissions target |
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Minimum or maximum weight P |
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0,0% |
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Current weighting population |
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0,0% |
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baseline weighting population |
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0,0% |
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global per capita |
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t |
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country per capita |
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t |
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