Extended Smooth Pathway Model (ESPM) weighting population key in the weighted key 12% To update the data, please start the macro for the scenario type you want to use:
global CO2 budget 2020 - 2100 in Gt
in Gt		 680
weighted distribution key: population and emissions in base year 2019 to distribute from this budget here 2020 - 2100 in Gt (without LUC/ISA) 738
RM-3-lin RM-4-quadr
RM-5-rad RM-6-abs
in Mill. t budget 2020 - 2100 weighted key emissions 2019 sorted by 'budget' - in Mill. t budget 2020 - 2100 weighted key emissions 2019 scope years
Afghanistan 629.03 0.09% 11.44 China 225,016 30.5% 11,835 19.0 Reference values: Six major emitters and one other example country
Albania 121.81 0.02% 4.99 United States 91,177 12.4% 4,956 18.4
Algeria 3,771.00 0.51% 186.05 India 60,691 8.2% 2,550 23.8 global budget in Gt:  680 scenario type:  RM-3-lin
Angola 848.23 0.11% 27.40 EU27 56,398 7.6% 2,909 19.4 weighting population:  12% minimum annual emissions (based on 2019):  -2.0% LUC in Gt:  -40 ISA:  3.3% CeCS in Gt:  -40
Anguilla 0.66 0.00% 0.03 Russia 34,590 4.7% 1,868 18.5    
Antigua and Barbuda 7.17 0.00% 0.34 Japan 21,290 2.9% 1,125 18.9   emissions
2019
in Mill. t		 per capita 2019
in t		 share in
global emissions
2019		 share in global population 2019 temporary overshoot in Mill. t year emissions neutrality normalised start change rate 2026 determination of the free parameter successful? change rate 2018 change rate 2019 change rate 2022 change rate   input start change rate (optional) 2026[1] adjustment of the start change rate in the target value search
Argentina 3,744.49 0.51% 182.96 Indonesia 14,412 2.0% 642 22.5              
Armenia 147.18 0.02% 6.43 Iran 13,692 1.9% 722 19.0 target year:  2030 2035 2040
Aruba 10.11 0.00% 0.50 Germany 13,229 1.8% 696 19.0 reference year:  1990 2019 1990 2019 1990 2019 2025  
Australia 7,487.43 1.01% 408.24 South Korea 12,494 1.7% 675 18.5 China 380% -2% 236% -31% 83% -63% 11,835 8.3 32% 18% 10,474 2056 -0.5% yes 4.7% 2.7% -0.3% -0.5%   -0.5% 0.0%
Austria 1,313.17 0.18% 68.76 Canada 11,138 1.5% 607 18.3 United States -4% -4% -27% -27% -59% -59% 4,956 15.1 13% 4% 4,425 2055 2.3% yes 3.2% -3.0% 1.3% 2.3%   2.3% 0.0%
Azerbaijan 766.82 0.10% 36.96 Brazil 10,703 1.5% 469 22.8 EU27 -39% -20% -49% -33% -62% -51% 2,909 6.6 8% 6% 1,923 2066 -0.1% yes -2.1% -4.6% -2.6% -0.1%   -0.1% 0.0%
Bahamas 29.94 0.00% 1.44 Saudi Arabia 10,641 1.4% 581 18.3 India 373% 11% 261% -15% 136% -44% 2,550 1.9 7% 18% 1,890 2063 -1.3% yes 3.9% 0.4% 9.1% -1.3%   -1.3% 0.0%
Bahrain 666.56 0.09% 36.73 Mexico 10,385 1.4% 503 20.7 Russia -27% -5% -49% -33% -72% -63% 1,868 13.0 5% 2% 1,651 2056 -0.8% yes 4.3% 1.6% -0.6% -0.3%   -0.3% -0.5%
Bangladesh 3,912.93 0.53% 112.44 South Africa 9,088 1.2% 478 19.0 Japan -25% -22% -40% -37% -56% -55% 1,125 8.9 3% 2% 706 2068 -1.5% yes -4.1% -3.4% -2.6% -1.5%   -1.5% 0.0%
Barbados 18.27 0.00% 0.85 Türkiye 8,261 1.1% 414 19.9 Nigeria[2]                             5.3% 3.7% -0.6% 7.1%   7.1%  
Belarus 1,190.01 0.16% 61.34 Australia 7,487 1.0% 408 18.3 sum big six             25,243   69% 50% 21,069      
Belgium 1,896.44 0.26% 100.01 United Kingdom 7,084 1.0% 358 19.8 global             36,827 4.78            
Belize 11.40 0.00% 0.39 Viet Nam 7,039 1.0% 336 21.0
Benin 279.14 0.04% 8.14 Italy, San Marino and the Holy See 6,543 0.9% 332 19.7 Here the start (normalised) change rate in scenarios RM 3 - 5 for 2020 is the actual change rate in 2019.
Bermuda 5.98 0.00% 0.30 France and Monaco 6,491 0.9% 325 19.9
Bhutan 42.12 0.01% 1.85 Thailand 5,977 0.8% 294 20.3 Five major without EU             22,334   61%
Bolivia 518.60 0.07% 22.00 Poland 5,935 0.8% 312 19.0 Share of countries with less than 2% share of global emissions     14,493   39%
Bosnia and Herzegovina 438.72 0.06% 22.60 Pakistan 5,925 0.8% 203 29.2
Botswana 143.82 0.02% 6.61 Taiwan 5,394 0.7% 290 18.6
Brazil 10,702.66 1.45% 468.59 Egypt 5,335 0.7% 237 22.5 actual values sheet "reference values":
British Virgin Islands 1.89 0.00% 0.09 Spain and Andorra 5,019 0.7% 254 19.7 China 380% -2% 83% -63% 11,835 32% 18% 10,474 2056 -0.5%
Brunei 136.17 0.02% 7.44 Malaysia 4,856 0.7% 254 19.1
Bulgaria 867.40 0.12% 44.64 Nigeria 4,560 0.6% 128 35.7
Burkina Faso 334.63 0.05% 5.74 Iraq 4,360 0.6% 221 19.7
Burundi 146.53 0.02% 0.77 Ukraine 4,168 0.6% 208 20.1
Cabo Verde 21.32 0.00% 0.84 Kazakhstan 4,076 0.6% 219 18.6
Cambodia 466.33 0.06% 15.71 Bangladesh 3,913 0.5% 112 34.8
Cameroon 458.22 0.06% 9.50 Philippines 3,849 0.5% 148 26.0
Canada 11,137.52 1.51% 607.29 Algeria 3,771 0.5% 186 20.3
Cayman Islands 7.59 0.00% 0.39 Argentina 3,744 0.5% 183 20.5
Central African Republic 61.76 0.01% 0.36 United Arab Emirates 3,552 0.5% 195 18.2
Chad 221.48 0.03% 2.26 Netherlands 2,980 0.4% 158 18.9
Chile 1,889.83 0.26% 95.22 Venezuela 2,808 0.4% 138 20.4
China 225,016.05 30.49% 11,834.99 Uzbekistan 2,391 0.3% 114 20.9
Colombia 2,110.41 0.29% 87.21 Qatar 2,200 0.3% 123 17.9
Comoros 13.79 0.00% 0.23 Colombia 2,110 0.3% 87 24.2
Congo 174.91 0.02% 6.31 Czechia 1,952 0.3% 104 18.8
Cook Islands 1.95 0.00% 0.10 Belgium 1,896 0.3% 100 19.0
Costa Rica 201.18 0.03% 8.15 Chile 1,890 0.3% 95 19.8
Côte d’Ivoire 528.17 0.07% 13.32 Kuwait 1,765 0.2% 97 18.1
Croatia 364.41 0.05% 17.97 Morocco 1,691 0.2% 72 23.5
Cuba 572.38 0.08% 24.97 Romania 1,655 0.2% 81 20.4
Curaçao 27.46 0.00% 1.45 North Korea 1,591 0.2% 73 21.7
Cyprus 141.03 0.02% 7.22 Ethiopia 1,588 0.2% 18 86.7
Czechia 1,952.13 0.26% 103.77 Oman 1,562 0.2% 85 18.3
Democratic Republic of the Congo 1,053.96 0.14% 3.29 Peru 1,415 0.2% 59 24.1
Denmark 595.70 0.08% 30.02 Turkmenistan 1,356 0.2% 73 18.6
Djibouti 26.11 0.00% 0.84 Austria 1,313 0.2% 69 19.1
Dominica 2.36 0.00% 0.09 Israel and Palestine, State of 1,303 0.2% 65 20.1
Dominican Republic 626.75 0.08% 28.38 Myanmar/Burma 1,237 0.2% 35 35.6
Ecuador 915.41 0.12% 40.77 Greece 1,212 0.2% 61 19.7
Egypt 5,334.55 0.72% 236.62 Libya 1,194 0.2% 63 18.8
El Salvador 216.98 0.03% 8.11 Belarus 1,190 0.2% 61 19.4
Equatorial Guinea 105.85 0.01% 5.12 Serbia and Montenegro 1,152 0.2% 59 19.5
Eritrea 72.85 0.01% 0.67 Singapore 1,056 0.1% 56 18.8
Estonia 287.58 0.04% 15.46 Democratic Republic of the Congo 1,054 0.1% 3 320.5
Eswatini 38.16 0.01% 1.24 Sudan and South Sudan 1,035 0.1% 23 44.4
Ethiopia 1,587.55 0.22% 18.30 Hungary 1,011 0.1% 51 19.8
EU27 56,398.15 7.64% 2,909.35 Tanzania 1,001 0.1% 17 58.6
Falkland Islands 0.33 0.00% 0.02 Kenya 943 0.1% 19 48.4
Faroes 0.61 0.00% 0.00 Portugal 936 0.1% 46 20.2
Fiji 43.58 0.01% 1.87 Ecuador 915 0.1% 41 22.5
Finland 842.53 0.11% 44.15 Bulgaria 867 0.1% 45 19.4
France and Monaco 6,491.17 0.88% 325.45 Norway 861 0.1% 45 19.0
French Guiana 9.69 0.00% 0.36 Hong Kong 853 0.1% 44 19.6
French Polynesia 17.70 0.00% 0.82 Angola 848 0.1% 27 31.0
Gabon 106.03 0.01% 4.64 Finland 843 0.1% 44 19.1
Georgia 255.45 0.03% 11.94 Sweden 812 0.1% 40 20.6
Germany 13,229.35 1.79% 696.50 Switzerland and Liechtenstein 769 0.1% 38 20.2
Ghana 703.17 0.10% 20.27 Azerbaijan 767 0.1% 37 20.7
Gibraltar 6.99 0.00% 0.37 Syria 746 0.1% 30 24.7
Greece 1,212.22 0.16% 61.50 New Zealand 712 0.1% 37 19.1
Greenland 9.69 0.00% 0.51 Ghana 703 0.1% 20 34.7
Grenada 4.40 0.00% 0.18 Ireland 697 0.1% 36 19.2
Guadeloupe 24.48 0.00% 1.10 Tunisia 677 0.1% 31 22.0
Guatemala 547.96 0.07% 19.63 Slovakia 676 0.1% 35 19.4
Guinea 237.96 0.03% 4.77 Yemen 676 0.1% 19 35.5
Guinea-Bissau 27.43 0.00% 0.28 Bahrain 667 0.1% 37 18.1
Guyana 59.04 0.01% 2.84 Sri Lanka 664 0.1% 24 27.7
Haiti 188.67 0.03% 3.38 Uganda 650 0.1% 7 91.9
Honduras 289.84 0.04% 10.20 Afghanistan 629 0.1% 11 55.0
Hong Kong 853.28 0.12% 43.51 Dominican Republic 627 0.1% 28 22.1
Hungary 1,010.55 0.14% 51.02 Trinidad and Tobago 602 0.1% 33 18.1
Iceland 59.92 0.01% 3.18 Denmark 596 0.1% 30 19.8
India 60,691.47 8.22% 2,550.24 Nepal 582 0.1% 13 43.1
Indonesia 14,411.81 1.95% 641.71 Cuba 572 0.1% 25 22.9
Iran 13,692.09 1.86% 722.49 Guatemala 548 0.1% 20 27.9
Iraq 4,359.52 0.59% 220.89 Lebanon 546 0.1% 27 20.2
Ireland 696.89 0.09% 36.36 Côte d’Ivoire 528 0.1% 13 39.6
Israel and Palestine, State of 1,303.15 0.18% 64.93 Jordan 526 0.1% 23 22.6
Italy, San Marino and the Holy See 6,542.68 0.89% 332.45 Bolivia 519 0.1% 22 23.6
Jamaica 178.65 0.02% 8.24 Mozambique 513 0.1% 9 59.3
Japan 21,289.50 2.88% 1,124.63 Mongolia 483 0.1% 25 19.1
Jordan 526.38 0.07% 23.29 Cambodia 466 0.1% 16 29.7
Kazakhstan 4,075.65 0.55% 219.01 Cameroon 458 0.1% 9 48.2
Kenya 943.09 0.13% 19.48 Bosnia and Herzegovina 439 0.1% 23 19.4
Kiribati 2.60 0.00% 0.07 Zimbabwe 428 0.1% 13 32.9
Kuwait 1,765.17 0.24% 97.33 Laos 423 0.1% 19 21.8
Kyrgyzstan 251.93 0.03% 10.24 Senegal 387 0.1% 11 35.1
Laos 422.71 0.06% 19.37 Madagascar 380 0.1% 4 94.8
Latvia 160.38 0.02% 7.85 Zambia 368 0.0% 9 40.7
Lebanon 545.78 0.07% 27.00 Croatia 364 0.0% 18 20.3
Lesotho 40.24 0.01% 0.79 Burkina Faso 335 0.0% 6 58.3
Liberia 75.07 0.01% 1.02 Mali 335 0.0% 6 54.4
Libya 1,194.48 0.16% 63.46 Malawi 326 0.0% 6 57.9
Lithuania 285.01 0.04% 14.30 Niger 307 0.0% 2 131.6
Luxembourg 177.44 0.02% 9.67 Honduras 290 0.0% 10 28.4
Macao 44.04 0.01% 2.08 Estonia 288 0.0% 15 18.6
Madagascar 380.45 0.05% 4.01 Lithuania 285 0.0% 14 19.9
Malawi 325.51 0.04% 5.62 Slovenia 284 0.0% 15 19.3
Malaysia 4,855.64 0.66% 254.21 Panama 281 0.0% 13 21.3
Maldives 29.49 0.00% 1.38 Benin 279 0.0% 8 34.3
Mali 334.51 0.05% 6.15 Tajikistan 267 0.0% 9 29.3
Malta 34.48 0.00% 1.67 Puerto Rico 259 0.0% 12 21.0
Martinique 22.43 0.00% 1.02 Georgia 255 0.0% 12 21.4
Mauritania 133.17 0.02% 4.52 Kyrgyzstan 252 0.0% 10 24.6
Mauritius 88.92 0.01% 4.21 Guinea 238 0.0% 5 49.9
Mexico 10,384.84 1.41% 502.71 Paraguay 231 0.0% 9 27.0
Moldova 205.97 0.03% 9.06 Chad 221 0.0% 2 98.0
Mongolia 483.23 0.07% 25.34 El Salvador 217 0.0% 8 26.8
Morocco 1,691.25 0.23% 72.05 Papua New Guinea 213 0.0% 7 32.8
Mozambique 513.22 0.07% 8.65 Moldova 206 0.0% 9 22.7
Myanmar/Burma 1,237.36 0.17% 34.78 Somalia 203 0.0% 1 154.4
Namibia 98.28 0.01% 3.85 Costa Rica 201 0.0% 8 24.7
Nepal 581.83 0.08% 13.49 Haiti 189 0.0% 3 55.9
Netherlands 2,980.13 0.40% 157.83 Jamaica 179 0.0% 8 21.7
New Caledonia 101.56 0.01% 5.57 Luxembourg 177 0.0% 10 18.3
New Zealand 712.17 0.10% 37.26 North Macedonia 177 0.0% 9 20.4
Nicaragua 167.45 0.02% 5.36 Congo 175 0.0% 6 27.7
Niger 307.36 0.04% 2.34 Rwanda 174 0.0% 2 114.5
Nigeria 4,560.42 0.62% 127.74 Nicaragua 167 0.0% 5 31.2
North Korea 1,591.11 0.22% 73.47 Uruguay 166 0.0% 7 23.2
North Macedonia 177.02 0.02% 8.68 Latvia 160 0.0% 8 20.4
Norway 860.69 0.12% 45.29 Armenia 147 0.0% 6 22.9
Oman 1,562.16 0.21% 85.33 Burundi 147 0.0% 1 190.1
Pakistan 5,924.88 0.80% 202.74 Botswana 144 0.0% 7 21.8
Palau 22.62 0.00% 1.27 Cyprus 141 0.0% 7 19.5
Panama 281.48 0.04% 13.21 Brunei 136 0.0% 7 18.3
Papua New Guinea 213.27 0.03% 6.50 Mauritania 133 0.0% 5 29.5
Paraguay 230.79 0.03% 8.54 Togo 131 0.0% 2 62.3
Peru 1,415.21 0.19% 58.80 Albania 122 0.0% 5 24.4
Philippines 3,848.81 0.52% 147.85 Sierra Leone 114 0.0% 1 86.1
Poland 5,935.19 0.80% 311.80 Gabon 106 0.0% 5 22.9
Portugal 936.47 0.13% 46.43 Equatorial Guinea 106 0.0% 5 20.7
Puerto Rico 258.86 0.04% 12.30 New Caledonia 102 0.0% 6 18.2
Qatar 2,200.03 0.30% 122.97 Namibia 98 0.0% 4 25.5
Réunion 55.29 0.01% 2.56 Mauritius 89 0.0% 4 21.1
Romania 1,654.65 0.22% 81.14 Liberia 75 0.0% 1 73.9
Russia 34,590.09 4.69% 1,867.76 Eritrea 73 0.0% 1 108.2
Rwanda 173.68 0.02% 1.52 Central African Republic 62 0.0% 0 171.6
Saint Helena, Ascension and Tristan da Cunha 0.35 0.00% 0.02 Iceland 60 0.0% 3 18.9
Saint Kitts and Nevis 2.92 0.00% 0.13 Guyana 59 0.0% 3 20.8
Saint Lucia 7.21 0.00% 0.29 Réunion 55 0.0% 3 21.6
Saint Pierre and Miquelon 0.68 0.00% 0.03 Suriname 53 0.0% 3 20.1
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 3.30 0.00% 0.12 Macao 44 0.0% 2 21.2
Samoa 7.96 0.00% 0.32 Fiji 44 0.0% 2 23.3
São Tomé and Príncipe 5.28 0.00% 0.16 Bhutan 42 0.0% 2 22.8
Saudi Arabia 10,641.32 1.44% 581.19 Lesotho 40 0.0% 1 51.0
Senegal 386.74 0.05% 11.03 Eswatini 38 0.0% 1 30.7
Serbia and Montenegro 1,151.59 0.16% 59.20 Malta 34 0.0% 2 20.6
Seychelles 16.99 0.00% 0.90 The Gambia 34 0.0% 0 72.3
Sierra Leone 113.86 0.02% 1.32 Bahamas 30 0.0% 1 20.9
Singapore 1,055.82 0.14% 56.05 Maldives 29 0.0% 1 21.4
Slovakia 676.30 0.09% 34.80 Curaçao 27 0.0% 1 18.9
Slovenia 284.09 0.04% 14.75 Guinea-Bissau 27 0.0% 0 96.9
Solomon Islands 12.42 0.00% 0.29 Timor-Leste 27 0.0% 1 42.3
Somalia 202.71 0.03% 1.31 Djibouti 26 0.0% 1 31.1
South Africa 9,088.31 1.23% 477.55 Guadeloupe 24 0.0% 1 22.3
South Korea 12,494.08 1.69% 675.06 Palau 23 0.0% 1 17.8
Spain and Andorra 5,018.63 0.68% 254.34 Martinique 22 0.0% 1 22.0
Sri Lanka 664.09 0.09% 23.97 Cabo Verde 21 0.0% 1 25.3
Sudan and South Sudan 1,034.67 0.14% 23.30 Barbados 18 0.0% 1 21.5
Suriname 53.50 0.01% 2.66 French Polynesia 18 0.0% 1 21.7
Sweden 812.12 0.11% 39.51 Seychelles 17 0.0% 1 18.9
Switzerland and Liechtenstein 768.99 0.10% 38.00 Comoros 14 0.0% 0 60.6
Syria 746.25 0.10% 30.27 Solomon Islands 12 0.0% 0 42.7
Taiwan 5,394.26 0.73% 290.41 Belize 11 0.0% 0 29.1
Tajikistan 267.46 0.04% 9.12 Western Sahara 11 0.0% 0 46.3
Tanzania 1,000.53 0.14% 17.07 Aruba 10 0.0% 1 20.1
Thailand 5,977.13 0.81% 293.81 French Guiana 10 0.0% 0 27.2
The Gambia 33.85 0.00% 0.47 Greenland 10 0.0% 1 18.9
Timor-Leste 26.64 0.00% 0.63 Samoa 8 0.0% 0 24.7
Togo 131.14 0.02% 2.11 Cayman Islands 8 0.0% 0 19.5
Tonga 4.70 0.00% 0.19 Saint Lucia 7 0.0% 0 24.7
Trinidad and Tobago 601.71 0.08% 33.22 Antigua and Barbuda 7 0.0% 0 21.2
Tunisia 676.66 0.09% 30.70 Gibraltar 7 0.0% 0 18.7
Türkiye 8,260.78 1.12% 414.41 Vanuatu 7 0.0% 0 34.2
Turkmenistan 1,356.10 0.18% 73.03 Bermuda 6 0.0% 0 20.0
Turks and Caicos Islands 4.28 0.00% 0.22 São Tomé and Príncipe 5 0.0% 0 32.9
Uganda 649.54 0.09% 7.07 Tonga 5 0.0% 0 24.1
Ukraine 4,167.84 0.56% 207.82 Grenada 4 0.0% 0 24.6
United Arab Emirates 3,552.09 0.48% 195.12 Turks and Caicos Islands 4 0.0% 0 19.5
United Kingdom 7,083.51 0.96% 358.07 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 3 0.0% 0 28.6
United States 91,176.91 12.35% 4,955.96 Saint Kitts and Nevis 3 0.0% 0 22.7
Uruguay 166.19 0.02% 7.16 Kiribati 3 0.0% 0 37.6
Uzbekistan 2,391.02 0.32% 114.22 Dominica 2 0.0% 0 27.7
Vanuatu 6.82 0.00% 0.20 Cook Islands 2 0.0% 0 19.7
Venezuela 2,808.25 0.38% 137.90 British Virgin Islands 2 0.0% 0 21.9
Viet Nam 7,038.63 0.95% 335.69 Saint Pierre and Miquelon 1 0.0% 0 19.7
Western Sahara 10.80 0.00% 0.23 Anguilla 1 0.0% 0 23.9
Yemen 675.92 0.09% 19.07 Faroes 1 0.0% 0 293.5
Zambia 367.56 0.05% 9.03 Saint Helena, Ascension and Tristan da Cunha 0 0.0% 0 20.4
Zimbabwe 427.72 0.06% 12.99 Falkland Islands 0 0.0% 0 19.6
sub sum 794,398.15 39,736.39   794,398   39,736  
EU27 -56,398.15 -2,909.35   0   0  
sum 738,000.00 36,827.04
base data / data countries 738,000.00 36,827.04
rounding difference 0.00 0.00
[1]
AW:
If no entry is made, the actual value for 2019 is used.
[2]
AW:
only calculated for RM-6