I R AA AJ AS
China → select a country global budget 650 Gt The global paths RM 1 - 6 keep the global budget 2020 - 2100. E_i_t RF: RM-1 const RF: RM-2 exp RF: RM-3 lin RF: RM-4 quadr RF: RM-5 rad RF: RM-6 abs actual per capita RF: RM-1 const RF: RM-2 exp RF: RM-3 lin RF: RM-4 quadr RF: RM-5 rad RF: RM-6 abs   RR_i_t RF: RM-1 const RF: RM-2 exp RF: RM-3 lin RF: RM-4 quadr RF: RM-5 rad RF: RM-6 abs actual
global per capita emissions 2019: 4.73 t 2019 2019 11,819.36 11,819.36 11,819.36 11,819.36 11,819.36 11,819.36 11,819.36   8.32 8.32 8.32 8.32 8.32 8.32                  
  2020 11,160.31 11,756.69 11,756.90 11,757.25 11,757.03 11,484.80 12,037.32 7.86 8.28 8.28 8.28 8.28 8.09   2020 -5.6% -0.5% -0.5% -0.5% -0.5% -2.8% 1.8%
scenario type conver-
gence
level
  2021 10,536.20 11,683.32 11,643.97 11,691.96 11,560.68 11,150.25 12,717.66 7.42 8.23 8.20 8.23 8.14 7.85   2021 -5.6% -0.6% -1.0% -0.6% -1.7% -2.9% 5.7%
  2022 9,945.18 11,597.49 11,481.73 11,616.61 11,270.66 10,815.69 12,667.43 7.00 8.17 8.09 8.18 7.94 7.62   2022 -5.6% -0.7% -1.4% -0.6% -2.5% -3.0% -0.4%
  2023 9,385.49 11,497.20 11,271.96 11,524.49 10,922.48 10,481.14   6.61 8.10 7.94 8.12 7.69 7.38   2023 -5.6% -0.9% -1.8% -0.8% -3.1% -3.1% #NV
base data 0.50   2024 8,855.48 11,380.15 11,017.01 11,409.12 10,533.14 10,146.58   6.24 8.01 7.76 8.03 7.42 7.15   2024 -5.6% -1.0% -2.3% -1.0% -3.6% -3.2% #NV
RM-1 0.51 Depending on the global path the smallest value is sought which is greater than or the same as the convergence level set. This value then constitutes the convergence year of the global path. The convergence level in the case of the concrete global path will generally be somewhat higher than the value set.   2025 8,353.57 11,243.75 10,719.73 11,264.34 10,114.01 9,812.02   5.88 7.92 7.55 7.93 7.12 6.91   2025 -5.7% -1.2% -2.7% -1.3% -4.0% -3.3% #NV
RM-2 0.58   2026 7,878.26 11,085.06 10,383.45 11,084.49 9,673.69 9,477.47   5.55 7.81 7.31 7.81 6.81 6.67   2026 -5.7% -1.4% -3.1% -1.6% -4.4% -3.4% #NV
RM-3 0.55   2027 7,428.16 10,900.81 10,011.93 10,864.51 9,219.10 9,142.91   5.23 7.68 7.05 7.65 6.49 6.44   2027 -5.7% -1.7% -3.6% -2.0% -4.7% -3.5% #NV
RM-4 0.50   2028 7,001.92 10,687.39 9,609.22 10,600.14 8,755.96 8,808.36   4.93 7.53 6.77 7.46 6.17 6.20   2028 -5.7% -2.0% -4.0% -2.4% -5.0% -3.7% #NV
RM-5 0.53   2029 6,598.27 10,440.89 9,179.69 10,288.14 8,289.10 8,473.80   4.65 7.35 6.46 7.24 5.84 5.97   2029 -5.8% -2.3% -4.5% -2.9% -5.3% -3.8% #NV
RM-6 0.55 2030 2030 6,216.03 10,157.10 8,727.84 9,926.46 7,822.59 8,139.24   4.38 7.15 6.15 6.99 5.51 5.73   2030 -5.8% -2.7% -4.9% -3.5% -5.6% -3.9% #NV
  2031 5,854.05 9,831.68 8,258.30 9,514.42 7,359.93 7,804.69   4.12 6.92 5.82 6.70 5.18 5.50   2031 -5.8% -3.2% -5.4% -4.2% -5.9% -4.1% #NV
A mathematical description of the RM Scenario Types is published on Zenodo: Zenodo   2032 5,511.26 9,460.23 7,775.73 9,052.85 6,904.05 7,470.13   3.88 6.66 5.48 6.37 4.86 5.26   2032 -5.9% -3.8% -5.8% -4.9% -6.2% -4.3% #NV
  2033 5,186.65 9,038.55 7,284.71 8,544.25 6,457.44 7,135.58   3.65 6.36 5.13 6.02 4.55 5.02   2033 -5.9% -4.5% -6.3% -5.6% -6.5% -4.5% #NV
  2034 4,879.24 8,562.93 6,789.72 7,992.77 6,022.15 6,801.02   3.44 6.03 4.78 5.63 4.24 4.79   2034 -5.9% -5.3% -6.8% -6.5% -6.7% -4.7% #NV
  2035 4,588.13 8,030.59 6,295.03 7,404.22 5,599.89 6,466.47   3.23 5.66 4.43 5.21 3.94 4.55   2035 -6.0% -6.2% -7.3% -7.4% -7.0% -4.9% #NV
  2036 4,312.46 7,440.13 5,804.67 6,785.95 5,192.01 6,131.91   3.04 5.24 4.09 4.78 3.66 4.32   2036 -6.0% -7.4% -7.8% -8.4% -7.3% -5.2% #NV
  2037 4,051.40 6,792.28 5,322.36 6,146.63 4,799.59 5,797.35   2.85 4.78 3.75 4.33 3.38 4.08   2037 -6.1% -8.7% -8.3% -9.4% -7.6% -5.5% #NV
A mathematical description of the Regensburg Formula is published on Zenodo: Zenodo   2038 3,804.18 6,090.53 4,851.47 5,495.99 4,423.42 5,462.80   2.68 4.29 3.42 3.87 3.11 3.85   2038 -6.1% -10.3% -8.8% -10.6% -7.8% -5.8% #NV
  2039 3,570.07 5,342.00 4,395.01 4,844.41 4,064.09 5,128.24   2.51 3.76 3.09 3.41 2.86 3.61   2039 -6.2% -12.3% -9.4% -11.9% -8.1% -6.1% #NV
2040 2040 3,348.37 4,558.11 3,955.56 4,202.51 3,721.96 4,793.69   2.36 3.21 2.79 2.96 2.62 3.38   2040 -6.2% -14.7% -10.0% -13.3% -8.4% -6.5% #NV
  2041 3,138.43 3,755.12 3,535.33 3,580.68 3,397.19 4,459.13   2.21 2.64 2.49 2.52 2.39 3.14   2041 -6.3% -17.6% -10.6% -14.8% -8.7% -7.0% #NV
  2042 2,939.61 2,954.16 3,136.06 2,988.56 3,089.81 4,124.58   2.07 2.08 2.21 2.10 2.18 2.90   2042 -6.3% -21.3% -11.3% -16.5% -9.0% -7.5% #NV
Reference values for the country: China   2043 2,751.34 2,180.59 2,759.13 2,434.65 2,799.70 3,790.02   1.94 1.54 1.94 1.71 1.97 2.67   2043 -6.4% -26.2% -12.0% -18.5% -9.4% -8.1% #NV
  2044 2,573.05 1,462.29 2,405.49 1,925.89 2,526.61 3,455.46   1.81 1.03 1.69 1.36 1.78 2.43   2044 -6.5% -32.9% -12.8% -20.9% -9.8% -8.8% #NV
  2045 2,404.21 826.79 2,075.74 1,467.39 2,270.21 3,120.91   1.69 0.58 1.46 1.03 1.60 2.20   2045 -6.6% -43.5% -13.7% -23.8% -10.1% -9.7% #NV
  2046 2,244.32 542.77 1,770.09 1,062.23 2,030.06 2,786.35   1.58 0.38 1.25 0.75 1.43 1.96   2046 -6.7% #NV -14.7% -27.6% -10.6% -10.7% #NV
  2047 2,092.91 323.38 1,488.47 711.46 1,805.66 2,451.80   1.47 0.23 1.05 0.50 1.27 1.73   2047 -6.7% #NV -15.9% -33.0% -11.1% -12.0% #NV
  2048 1,949.52 169.57 1,230.51 550.56 1,596.47 2,117.24   1.37 0.12 0.87 0.39 1.12 1.49   2048 -6.9% #NV -17.3% #NV -11.6% -13.6% #NV
  2049 1,813.74 15.77 995.58 417.19 1,401.88 1,782.68   1.28 0.01 0.70 0.29 0.99 1.26   2049 -7.0% #NV -19.1% #NV -12.2% -15.8% #NV
2050 2050 1,685.15 -236.31 782.85 309.19 1,221.26 1,448.13   1.19 -0.17 0.55 0.22 0.86 1.02   2050 -7.1% #NV -21.4% #NV -12.9% -18.8% #NV
  2051 1,563.39 -236.31 679.76 223.83 1,053.96 1,113.57   1.10 -0.17 0.48 0.16 0.74 0.78   2051 -7.2% #NV #NV #NV -13.7% -23.1% #NV
  2052 1,448.08 -236.31 587.46 138.46 899.31 779.02   1.02 -0.17 0.41 0.10 0.63 0.55   2052 -7.4% #NV #NV #NV -14.7% -30.0% #NV
  2053 1,338.88 -236.31 505.30 53.10 756.63 598.88   0.94 -0.17 0.36 0.04 0.53 0.42   2053 -7.5% #NV #NV #NV -15.9% #NV #NV
  2054 1,235.47 -236.31 432.56 -56.71 685.77 418.74   0.87 -0.17 0.30 -0.04 0.48 0.29   2054 -7.7% #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2055 1,137.54 -236.31 368.53 -206.77 620.65 238.61   0.80 -0.17 0.26 -0.15 0.44 0.17   2055 -7.9% #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2056 1,044.81 -236.31 312.47 -236.31 560.90 58.47   0.74 -0.17 0.22 -0.17 0.39 0.04   2056 -8.2% #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2057 956.99 -236.31 263.66 -236.31 506.20 -213.88   0.67 -0.17 0.19 -0.17 0.36 -0.15   2057 -8.4% #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2058 873.83 -236.31 221.39 -236.31 456.19 -236.31   0.62 -0.17 0.16 -0.17 0.32 -0.17   2058 -8.7% #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2059 795.08 -236.31 179.13 -236.31 410.55 -236.31   0.56 -0.17 0.13 -0.17 0.29 -0.17   2059 -9.0% #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
2060 2060 720.50 -236.31 136.87 -236.31 368.98 -236.31   0.51 -0.17 0.10 -0.17 0.26 -0.17   2060 -9.4% #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2061 682.30 -236.31 94.60 -236.31 331.17 -236.31   0.48 -0.17 0.07 -0.17 0.23 -0.17   2061 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2062 646.13 -236.31 52.34 -236.31 296.83 -236.31   0.45 -0.17 0.04 -0.17 0.21 -0.17   2062 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2063 611.87 -236.31 10.08 -236.31 265.71 -236.31   0.43 -0.17 0.01 -0.17 0.19 -0.17   2063 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2064 579.43 -236.31 -56.58 -236.31 237.54 -236.31   0.41 -0.17 -0.04 -0.17 0.17 -0.17   2064 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2065 548.71 -236.31 -130.87 -236.31 209.37 -236.31   0.39 -0.17 -0.09 -0.17 0.15 -0.17   2065 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2066 519.62 -236.31 -205.17 -236.31 181.20 -236.31   0.37 -0.17 -0.14 -0.17 0.13 -0.17   2066 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2067 492.07 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 153.03 -236.31   0.35 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 0.11 -0.17   2067 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2068 465.98 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 124.86 -236.31   0.33 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 0.09 -0.17   2068 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2069 441.28 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 96.69 -236.31   0.31 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 0.07 -0.17   2069 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
2070 2070 417.88 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 68.52 -236.31   0.29 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 0.05 -0.17   2070 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
                      2071 395.73 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 40.34 -236.31   0.28 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 0.03 -0.17   2071 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
selected country: China Global framework data:           scenario:  RM-1 const RM-2 exp RM-3 lin RM-4 quadr RM-5 rad RM-6 abs   per capita emissions 2019       2072 374.75 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 12.17 -236.31   0.26 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 0.01 -0.17   2072 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
Total budget 2020 - 2100 650  Gt Is the budget 2020 - 2100 complied with? 631 yes yes yes yes yes yes   global 4.73 t   2073 354.88 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -28.12 -236.31   0.25 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.02 -0.17   2073 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
data status Sep 23 LUC budget 2020 - 2100 0  Gt convergence year:  2060 2045 2050 2047 2053 2052   China 8.32 t   2074 336.07 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -77.64 -236.31   0.24 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.05 -0.17   2074 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
ISA budget 2020 - 2100 20  Gt year of emissions neutrality 2092 2050 2064 2054 2073 2057     2075 317.25 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -127.16 -236.31   0.22 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.09 -0.17   2075 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
Countries starting with per capita emissions close to the convergence level have a significant kink in their emission paths after the convergence year. This kink should be avoided in practice based on the resulting budget for that country. E_min -0.73  Gt
  2076 298.44 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -176.68 -236.31   0.21 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.12 -0.17   2076 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
convergence level 0.50  t   2077 279.62 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -226.21 -236.31   0.20 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.16 -0.17   2077 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
Shares of the country in 2019:   2078 260.81 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31   0.18 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2078 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
in global emissions population   2079 241.99 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31   0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2079 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
32.37% 18.41% 2080 2080 223.18 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31   0.16 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2080 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2081 204.36 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31   0.14 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2081 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2082 185.55 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31   0.13 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2082 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2083 166.73 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31   0.12 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2083 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2084 147.92 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31   0.10 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2084 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2085 129.11 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31   0.09 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2085 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2086 110.29 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31   0.08 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2086 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2087 91.48 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31   0.06 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2087 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2088 72.66 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31   0.05 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2088 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2089 53.85 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31   0.04 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2089 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
2090 2090 35.03 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31   0.02 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2090 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2091 16.22 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31   0.01 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2091 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2092 -4.56 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31   0.00 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2092 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2093 -37.64 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31   -0.03 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2093 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2094 -70.71 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31   -0.05 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2094 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2095 -103.79 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31   -0.07 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2095 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2096 -136.86 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31   -0.10 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2096 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2097 -169.94 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31   -0.12 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2097 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2098 -203.01 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31   -0.14 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2098 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2099 -236.09 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31   -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2099 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
2100 2100 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31 -236.31   -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17 -0.17   2100 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  RM-1 const RM-2 exp RM-3 lin RM-4 quadr RM-5 rad RM-6 abs actual                
1990 2,406.2            
2019 391% 391% 391% 391% 391% 391% 391%
2020 364% 389% 389% 389% 389% 377% 400%
2025 247% 367% 346% 368% 320% 308% -100%
2030 158% 322% 263% 313% 225% 238% -100%
2035 91% 234% 162% 208% 133% 169% -100%
2040 39% 89% 64% 75% 55% 99% -100%
2050 -30% -110% -67% -87% -49% -40% -100%
  RM-1 const RM-2 exp RM-3 lin RM-4 quadr RM-5 rad RM-6 abs actual
2010 9,124.9            
2019 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30%
2020 22% 29% 29% 29% 29% 26% 32%
2030 -32% 11% -4% 9% -14% -11% -100%
2040 -63% -50% -57% -54% -59% -47% -100%
2050 -82% -103% -91% -97% -87% -84% -100%
2019 11,819.4            
2020 -6% -1% -1% -1% -1% -3% 2%
2025 -29% -5% -9% -5% -14% -17% -100%
2030 -47% -14% -26% -16% -34% -31% -100%
2040 -72% -61% -67% -64% -69% -59% -100%
2050 -86% -102% -93% -97% -90% -88% -100%
             
RF: RM-1 const RF: RM-2 exp RF: RM-3 lin RF: RM-4 quadr RF: RM-5 rad RF: RM-6 abs actual global
Scope 15.4 16.7 16.3 16.7 16.0 16.4   17.3
  RF: RM-1 const RF: RM-2 exp RF: RM-3 lin RF: RM-4 quadr RF: RM-5 rad RF: RM-6 abs 0
2020-2030 national 93,359 122,430 115,803 122,028 109,918 107,932 37,422
2020-2100 national 181,674 197,756 192,132 196,977 188,868 193,293 37,422
share country / global 28.779% 31.354% 30.462% 31.208% 29.947% 30.623%  
2020-2100 global 631 631 631 631 631 631  
sum net negative emissions 1,199 12,052 8,427 10,897 6,071 10,375 0
2005 6258.4
2030 -1% 62% 39% 59% 25% 30% -100%
Japan 2013 1325.6
2030 369% 666% 558% 649% 490% 514% -100%
legend
Mill. t CO2