I R AA AJ AS
China → select a country global budget 650 Gt The global paths RM 1 - 6 keep the global budget 2020 - 2100. E_i_t RF: RM-1 const RF: RM-2 exp RF: RM-3 lin RF: RM-4 quadr RF: RM-5 rad RF: RM-6 abs actual per capita RF: RM-1 const RF: RM-2 exp RF: RM-3 lin RF: RM-4 quadr RF: RM-5 rad RF: RM-6 abs   RR_i_t RF: RM-1 const RF: RM-2 exp RF: RM-3 lin RF: RM-4 quadr RF: RM-5 rad RF: RM-6 abs actual
global per capita emissions 2019: 4.76 t 2019 2019 11,850.59 11,850.59 11,850.59 11,850.59 11,850.59 11,850.59 11,850.59   8.35 8.35 8.35 8.35 8.35 8.35                  
  2020 11,337.72 11,849.30 11,907.30 11,907.30 11,907.30 11,585.85 12,022.43 7.98 8.34 8.39 8.39 8.39 8.16   2020 -4.3% 0.0% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% -2.2% 1.5%
scenario type conver-
gence
level		   2021 10,845.96 11,847.56 11,927.86 11,962.03 11,858.23 11,321.11 12,621.61 7.64 8.34 8.40 8.42 8.35 7.97   2021 -4.3% 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% -0.4% -2.3% 5.0%
  2022 10,374.46 11,845.23 11,912.29 12,010.72 11,719.45 11,056.37 12,526.83 7.31 8.34 8.39 8.46 8.25 7.79   2022 -4.3% 0.0% -0.1% 0.4% -1.2% -2.3% -0.8%
  2023 9,922.37 11,842.09 11,861.01 12,049.35 11,523.66 10,791.63 13,259.64 6.99 8.34 8.35 8.49 8.11 7.60   2023 -4.4% 0.0% -0.4% 0.3% -1.7% -2.4% 5.8%
base data 0.50   2024 9,488.90 11,837.88 11,763.99 12,073.91 11,284.53 10,526.89   6.68 8.34 8.28 8.50 7.95 7.41   2024 -4.4% 0.0% -0.8% 0.2% -2.1% -2.5% #NV
RM-1 0.51 Depending on the global path the smallest value is sought which is greater than or the same as the convergence level set. This value then constitutes the convergence year of the global path. The convergence level in the case of the concrete global path will generally be somewhat higher than the value set.   2025 9,073.28 11,832.23 11,627.91 12,080.49 11,010.75 10,262.15   6.39 8.33 8.19 8.51 7.75 7.23   2025 -4.4% 0.0% -1.2% 0.1% -2.4% -2.5% #NV
RM-2 0.83   2026 8,674.78 11,824.63 11,454.10 12,065.34 10,708.88 9,997.41   6.11 8.33 8.07 8.50 7.54 7.04   2026 -4.4% -0.1% -1.5% -0.1% -2.7% -2.6% #NV
RM-3 0.56   2027 8,292.69 11,814.43 11,244.08 12,024.95 10,384.28 9,732.67   5.84 8.32 7.92 8.47 7.31 6.85   2027 -4.4% -0.1% -1.8% -0.3% -3.0% -2.6% #NV
RM-4 0.52   2028 7,926.33 11,800.74 10,999.70 11,956.14 10,041.50 9,467.94   5.58 8.31 7.75 8.42 7.07 6.67   2028 -4.4% -0.1% -2.2% -0.6% -3.3% -2.7% #NV
RM-5 0.53   2029 7,575.06 11,782.36 10,723.12 11,845.11 9,684.49 9,203.20   5.33 8.30 7.55 8.34 6.82 6.48   2029 -4.4% -0.2% -2.5% -0.9% -3.6% -2.8% #NV
RM-6 0.52 2030 2030 7,238.26 11,757.70 10,416.75 11,687.23 9,316.74 8,938.46   5.10 8.28 7.34 8.23 6.56 6.29   2030 -4.4% -0.2% -2.9% -1.3% -3.8% -2.9% #NV
  2031 6,915.33 11,724.64 10,083.27 11,485.67 8,941.34 8,673.72   4.87 8.26 7.10 8.09 6.30 6.11   2031 -4.5% -0.3% -3.2% -1.7% -4.0% -3.0% #NV
A mathematical description of the RM Scenario Types is published on Zenodo: Zenodo   2032 6,605.69 11,680.32 9,725.52 11,238.22 8,561.08 8,408.98   4.65 8.23 6.85 7.91 6.03 5.92   2032 -4.5% -0.4% -3.5% -2.2% -4.3% -3.1% #NV
  2033 6,308.81 11,620.99 9,346.51 10,943.44 8,178.42 8,144.24   4.44 8.18 6.58 7.71 5.76 5.74   2033 -4.5% -0.5% -3.9% -2.6% -4.5% -3.1% #NV
  2034 6,024.15 11,541.64 8,949.37 10,600.82 7,795.57 7,879.50   4.24 8.13 6.30 7.47 5.49 5.55   2034 -4.5% -0.7% -4.2% -3.1% -4.7% -3.3% #NV
  2035 5,751.22 11,435.69 8,537.30 10,210.84 7,414.51 7,614.76   4.05 8.05 6.01 7.19 5.22 5.36   2035 -4.5% -0.9% -4.6% -3.7% -4.9% -3.4% #NV
  2036 5,489.53 11,294.54 8,113.51 9,775.07 7,036.97 7,350.02   3.87 7.95 5.71 6.88 4.96 5.18   2036 -4.6% -1.2% -5.0% -4.3% -5.1% -3.5% #NV
  2037 5,238.61 11,107.02 7,681.20 9,296.21 6,664.51 7,085.28   3.69 7.82 5.41 6.55 4.69 4.99   2037 -4.6% -1.7% -5.3% -4.9% -5.3% -3.6% #NV
A mathematical description of the Regensburg Formula is published on Zenodo: Zenodo   2038 4,998.02 10,858.89 7,243.53 8,778.05 6,298.47 6,820.54   3.52 7.65 5.10 6.18 4.44 4.80   2038 -4.6% -2.2% -5.7% -5.6% -5.5% -3.7% #NV
  2039 4,767.35 10,532.30 6,803.55 8,225.50 5,940.02 6,555.80   3.36 7.42 4.79 5.79 4.18 4.62   2039 -4.6% -3.0% -6.1% -6.3% -5.7% -3.9% #NV
2040 2040 4,546.17 10,105.49 6,364.18 7,644.44 5,590.17 6,291.06   3.20 7.12 4.48 5.38 3.94 4.43   2040 -4.6% -4.1% -6.5% -7.1% -5.9% -4.0% #NV
  2041 4,334.10 9,553.12 5,928.20 7,041.62 5,249.77 6,026.32   3.05 6.73 4.17 4.96 3.70 4.24   2041 -4.7% -5.5% -6.9% -7.9% -6.1% -4.2% #NV
  2042 4,130.77 8,847.61 5,498.18 6,424.51 4,919.53 5,761.58   2.91 6.23 3.87 4.52 3.46 4.06   2042 -4.7% -7.4% -7.3% -8.8% -6.3% -4.4% #NV
Reference values for the country: China   2043 3,935.81 7,962.60 5,076.50 5,801.01 4,600.03 5,496.84   2.77 5.61 3.57 4.09 3.24 3.87   2043 -4.7% -10.0% -7.7% -9.7% -6.5% -4.6% #NV
  2044 3,748.88 6,879.51 4,665.30 5,179.28 4,291.72 5,232.10   2.64 4.84 3.29 3.65 3.02 3.68   2044 -4.7% -13.6% -8.1% -10.7% -6.7% -4.8% #NV
  2045 3,569.64 5,598.61 4,266.50 4,567.44 3,994.96 4,967.36   2.51 3.94 3.00 3.22 2.81 3.50   2045 -4.8% -18.6% -8.5% -11.8% -6.9% -5.1% #NV
  2046 3,397.79 4,154.60 3,881.73 3,973.28 3,709.98 4,702.62   2.39 2.93 2.73 2.80 2.61 3.31   2046 -4.8% -25.8% -9.0% -13.0% -7.1% -5.3% #NV
  2047 3,233.01 2,634.00 3,512.42 3,404.02 3,436.94 4,437.88   2.28 1.85 2.47 2.40 2.42 3.13   2047 -4.8% -36.6% -9.5% -14.3% -7.4% -5.6% #NV
  2048 3,075.02 1,184.56 3,159.71 2,866.04 3,175.91 4,173.14   2.17 0.83 2.23 2.02 2.24 2.94   2048 -4.9% -55.0% -10.0% -15.8% -7.6% -6.0% #NV
  2049 2,923.54 563.23 2,824.51 2,364.68 2,926.88 3,908.40   2.06 0.40 1.99 1.67 2.06 2.75   2049 -4.9% #NV -10.6% -17.5% -7.8% -6.3% #NV
2050 2050 2,778.29 -101.75 2,507.47 1,904.09 2,689.79 3,643.66   1.96 -0.07 1.77 1.34 1.89 2.57   2050 -5.0% #NV -11.2% -19.5% -8.1% -6.8% #NV
  2051 2,639.03 -1,183.53 2,209.03 1,487.14 2,464.49 3,378.92   1.86 -0.83 1.56 1.05 1.74 2.38   2051 -5.0% #NV -11.9% -21.9% -8.4% -7.3% #NV
  2052 2,505.50 -1,183.53 1,929.41 1,115.33 2,250.81 3,114.18   1.76 -0.83 1.36 0.79 1.59 2.19   2052 -5.1% #NV -12.7% #NV -8.7% -7.8% #NV
  2053 2,377.47 -1,183.53 1,668.62 743.51 2,048.51 2,849.44   1.67 -0.83 1.18 0.52 1.44 2.01   2053 -5.1% #NV -13.5% #NV -9.0% -8.5% #NV
  2054 2,254.71 -1,183.53 1,426.50 541.89 1,857.34 2,584.70   1.59 -0.83 1.00 0.38 1.31 1.82   2054 -5.2% #NV -14.5% #NV -9.3% -9.3% #NV
  2055 2,137.01 -1,183.53 1,202.73 340.26 1,676.99 2,319.96   1.50 -0.83 0.85 0.24 1.18 1.63   2055 -5.2% #NV -15.7% #NV -9.7% -10.2% #NV
  2056 2,024.16 -1,183.53 996.82 138.63 1,507.13 2,055.22   1.43 -0.83 0.70 0.10 1.06 1.45   2056 -5.3% #NV #NV #NV -10.1% -11.4% #NV
  2057 1,915.95 -1,183.53 790.92 -110.34 1,347.43 1,790.48   1.35 -0.83 0.56 -0.08 0.95 1.26   2057 -5.3% #NV #NV #NV -10.6% -12.9% #NV
  2058 1,812.20 -1,183.53 679.67 -463.45 1,197.50 1,525.74   1.28 -0.83 0.48 -0.33 0.84 1.07   2058 -5.4% #NV #NV #NV #NV -14.8% #NV
  2059 1,712.72 -1,183.53 568.41 -816.56 1,047.57 1,261.00   1.21 -0.83 0.40 -0.58 0.74 0.89   2059 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV -17.4% #NV
2060 2060 1,613.24 -1,183.53 457.16 -1,169.67 897.64 996.26   1.14 -0.83 0.32 -0.82 0.63 0.70   2060 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV -21.0% #NV
  2061 1,513.76 -1,183.53 345.90 -1,183.53 747.72 731.52   1.07 -0.83 0.24 -0.83 0.53 0.52   2061 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV -26.6% #NV
  2062 1,414.28 -1,183.53 234.65 -1,183.53 666.44 587.83   1.00 -0.83 0.17 -0.83 0.47 0.41   2062 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2063 1,314.81 -1,183.53 123.39 -1,183.53 585.16 444.13   0.93 -0.83 0.09 -0.83 0.41 0.31   2063 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2064 1,215.33 -1,183.53 12.13 -1,183.53 503.88 300.43   0.86 -0.83 0.01 -0.83 0.35 0.21   2064 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2065 1,115.85 -1,183.53 -173.59 -1,183.53 422.61 156.74   0.79 -0.83 -0.12 -0.83 0.30 0.11   2065 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2066 1,016.37 -1,183.53 -368.43 -1,183.53 341.33 13.04   0.72 -0.83 -0.26 -0.83 0.24 0.01   2066 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2067 916.89 -1,183.53 -563.27 -1,183.53 260.05 -228.81   0.65 -0.83 -0.40 -0.83 0.18 -0.16   2067 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2068 817.41 -1,183.53 -758.11 -1,183.53 178.77 -480.47   0.58 -0.83 -0.53 -0.83 0.13 -0.34   2068 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2069 717.94 -1,183.53 -952.95 -1,183.53 97.49 -732.12   0.51 -0.83 -0.67 -0.83 0.07 -0.52   2069 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
2070 2070 663.88 -1,183.53 -1,147.79 -1,183.53 16.22 -983.78   0.47 -0.83 -0.81 -0.83 0.01 -0.69   2070 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2071 609.83 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -113.94 -1,183.53   0.43 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.08 -0.83   2071 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
selected country: China Global framework data:     2072 555.78 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -256.28 -1,183.53   0.39 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.18 -0.83   2072 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
Total budget 2020 - 2100 650  Gt   2073 501.73 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -398.63 -1,183.53   0.35 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.28 -0.83   2073 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
data status Sep 24 LUC budget 2020 - 2100 -100  Gt   2074 447.68 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -540.97 -1,183.53   0.32 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.38 -0.83   2074 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
ISA budget 2020 - 2100 21  Gt   2075 393.63 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -683.31 -1,183.53   0.28 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.48 -0.83   2075 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
Countries starting with per capita emissions close to the convergence level have a significant kink in their emission paths after the convergence year. This kink should be avoided in practice based on the resulting budget for that country. E_min -3.67  Gt   2076 339.58 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -825.65 -1,183.53   0.24 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.58 -0.83   2076 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
convergence level 0.50  t   2077 285.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -967.99 -1,183.53   0.20 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.68 -0.83   2077 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
Shares of the country in 2019:   2078 231.48 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,110.33 -1,183.53   0.16 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.78 -0.83   2078 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
in global emissions population   2079 177.43 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53   0.12 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83   2079 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
32.25% 18.41% 2080 2080 123.38 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53   0.09 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83   2080 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2081 69.33 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53   0.05 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83   2081 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
Global results   2082 15.28 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53   0.01 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83   2082 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2082 15.28 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53   0.01 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83   2082 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2083 -67.91 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53   -0.05 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83   2083 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2084 -162.56 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53   -0.11 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83   2084 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2085 -257.22 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53   -0.18 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83   2085 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2086 -351.88 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53   -0.25 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83   2086 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2087 -446.54 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53   -0.31 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83   2087 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2088 -541.20 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53   -0.38 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83   2088 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2089 -635.86 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53   -0.45 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83   2089 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
2090 2090 -730.52 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53   -0.51 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83   2090 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2091 -825.18 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53   -0.58 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83   2091 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2092 -919.83 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53   -0.65 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83   2092 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2093 -1,014.49 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53   -0.71 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83   2093 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2094 -1,109.15 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53   -0.78 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83   2094 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2095 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53   -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83   2095 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2096 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53   -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83   2096 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2097 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53   -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83   2097 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2098 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53   -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83   2098 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  2099 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53   -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83   2099 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
2100 2100 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53 -1,183.53   -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83 -0.83   2100 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
  RM-1 const RM-2 exp RM-3 lin RM-4 quadr RM-5 rad RM-6 abs actual                
1990 2,414.3            
2019 391% 391% 391% 391% 391% 391% 391%
2020 370% 391% 393% 393% 393% 380% 398%
2025 276% 390% 382% 400% 356% 325% -100%
2030 200% 387% 331% 384% 286% 270% -100%
2035 138% 374% 254% 323% 207% 215% -100%
Further reference values for the country: China   2036 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00   0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00   2036 #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV #NV
2040 88% 319% 164% 217% 132% 161% -100%
2050 15% -104% 4% -21% 11% 51% -100%
  RM-1 const RM-2 exp RM-3 lin RM-4 quadr RM-5 rad RM-6 abs actual
2010 9,134.1            
2019 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30%
2020 24% 30% 30% 30% 30% 27% 32%
2030 -21% 29% 14% 28% 2% -2% -100%
2040 -50% 11% -30% -16% -39% -31% -100%
2050 -70% -101% -73% -79% -71% -60% -100%
2019 11,850.6            
2020 -4% 0% 0% 0% 0% -2% 1%
2025 -23% 0% -2% 2% -7% -13% -100%
2030 -39% -1% -12% -1% -21% -25% -100%
2040 -62% -15% -46% -35% -53% -47% -100%
2050 -77% -101% -79% -84% -77% -69% -100%
             
RF: RM-1 const RF: RM-2 exp RF: RM-3 lin RF: RM-4 quadr RF: RM-5 rad RF: RM-6 abs actual global
Scope 18.0 19.4 18.8 19.2 18.6 18.8   19.8
  RF: RM-1 const RF: RM-2 exp RF: RM-3 lin RF: RM-4 quadr RF: RM-5 rad RF: RM-6 abs 0
2020-2030 national 100,750 130,034 125,838 131,663 119,440 112,884 50,431
2020-2100 national 213,822 228,852 221,998 226,669 218,853 221,052 50,431
share country / global 29.343% 31.400% 30.434% 31.091% 30.034% 30.311%  
2020-2100 global 729 729 729 729 729 729  
sum net negative emissions 14,164 60,462 40,654 51,085 32,118 39,115 0
2005 6264.7
2030 16% 88% 66% 87% 49% 43% -100%
Japan 2013 1326.7
2030 446% 786% 685% 781% 602% 574% -100%
legend
Mill. t CO2    
      scenario:  RM-1 const RM-2 exp RM-3 lin RM-4 quadr RM-5 rad RM-6 abs
Is the budget 2020 - 2100 complied with?   729 yes yes yes yes yes yes
convergence year:  2069 2048 2057 2053 2061 2061
year of emissions neutrality 2083 2050 2065 2057 2071 2067