Climate policy - effective & fair
CO2 budgets published by the IPCC
Overarching goal in the Paris Agreement is
to hold "the increase in the global average temperature to well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels" and pursue efforts "to limit the temperature increase to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels." |
Remaining global CO2 budgets from 2020 on according to the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report
for different global warming levels with a compliance probability of 83%:
Warming |
Estimated remaining
carbon budgets |
|---|---|
[°C] |
[GtCO2 from 2020 on] |
1.5 |
300 |
1.6 |
400 |
1.7 |
550 |
1.8 |
650 |
We currently emit around 41 Gt per year.
We have summarised more detailed information here:
ipcc-co2-budgets.climate-calculator.info
The MCC's CO2 clock is based on a compliance probability of 67% (1.5°C 400 Gt, 2°C 1,150 Gt) and
asks asks how long the global budget would last if global emissions remained the same.
Web app for determining linear global reduction paths that comply with a predetermined CO2 budget:
global-paths.climate-calculator.info
Web app for calculating Paris-compatible national CO2 budgets:
short.national-budgets.climate-calculator.info
The web app takes the two decisive criteria into account:
(1) current reality
(2) climate justice
See the corresponding excursus here on the fundamental question of the criteria for allocating a global budget.
