Link to this page: www.climate-calculator.info
The ESPM consists of two calculation steps:
(here is a brief background paper on the ESPM)
Step 1: Determination of a national budget
Step 2: Derive plausible emission paths that adhere to this budget
What is calculated? |
emission paths |
EU: |
national CO2 budgets |
web apps |
all countries: EU version: |
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applicable to |
any geographical or other unit |
EU |
calculation of Paris-compatible national CO2 budgets for all countries in the world |
which emissions |
freely specifiable |
all CO2 emissions |
Which emissions are covered depends on the database used (see instructions for the apps). |
step 1: budget |
The user must set the budget himself (see tools in the column on the far right as a possible support). |
To derive a national CO2 budget from a predefined global CO2 budget, |
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step 2: paths |
To calculate the emission paths, the tools use the Regensburg Model Scenario Types (here is a brief description). These scenario types represent the entire range of plausible emission paths. Which scenario type makes sense in each case must be decided scientifically based on an overall climate policy view. |
The web apps also show emission targets based on linear emission paths; particular for the six major emitters. For more options in determining emission paths: The national budgets determined in the first step can then be used in the paths web app or in the corresponding Excel tool (see left column below) to derive plausible national emission paths with the RM Scenariot Types. |
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corresponding |
Excel tool - emission paths: Step 1 budget: The user must set the budget himself. The tools in the right-hand column can be used for this purpose. Step 2 paths: The tool uses the RM Scenario Types (see above). |
Step 1 budget: Excel tool - calculation of Paris-compatible national CO2 budgets for all countries of the world; see right column.
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Excel tool - calculation of Paris-compatible national CO2 budgets for all countries in the world:
Additional features e.g.:
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ESPM Excel tool - budgets and paths all countries: Step 1 budget: The tool uses the weighting model (see above) and the EDGAR database. Step 2 paths: The tool uses the RM Scenario Types (see above). |
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last published papers calculating Paris-compatible emission paths and targets; download from zenodo |
EU / Germany (in German) |
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six major emitters (in English) |
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web app global paths - calculating Paris-compatible linear global emission paths: http://global-paths.climate-calculator.info |